Tackling your board's next big question

Wild years in finance: Kalin Anev Janse on riding shocks and quantum leaps in AI

Jul 17 | 9 min read | By Tim Cooper

TLDR;

Helping transform indebted economies has been all in a day’s work for Kalin Anev Janse, CFO of the European Stability Mechanism and chair of the World Economic Forum CFO Community. Now he’s pushing hard against boundaries in the finance function. We talked to him about nurturing investor networks, driving AI transformation, and riding out economic volatility.

  • Suspension system: CFOs face a wild ride as economic uncertainty accelerates. They’re responding with buffering, stress tests, and smarter planning.

  • Predictive linkers: As deterministic finance moves from “AI shock to reality”, Janse is scouring the landscape for causative connections he can automate.

  • Bots and bonds: AI is starting to dominate investment, and is now embedded in much of ESM’s market analysis.

Ask your financial controller what’s eating up their time.

Monitoring and chasing down overdue debts is probably on the list. But that aged debt review is probably just the same handful of overdue accounts, restated. 

And a handful of escalations that needed a decision. 

And underneath all of it, hours spent tracking who still owes what, who's been chased, and who needs chasing next. 

Worth asking: is that really the best use of your controllers’ time?

Stuut know that it isn't… that the routine chasing can run itself, and your teams’ time is better spent elsewhere

Worried about your company's balance sheet? Cute. Try carrying the eurozone's debt burden on your back. 

That's what Kalin Anev Janse has done with his work in designing and running the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). They assist countries in financial distress through loans, raised through bond issuance, in return for economic reforms.

Kalin Anev Janse, Photo by Peter Lindmark

Janse is now CFO of the ESM—the largest international financial institution by capitalization—where he’s responsible for innovation in areas such as AI and automation. He’s also chair of the World Economic Forum (WEF) CFO Community, giving him direct insights from the people running the biggest balance sheets on the planet. The group enables finance chiefs—from organizations such as Volkswagen, Shell, and Petronas—to share ideas on tech innovation, sustainable finance, and economic strategies.

The most pressing change to the CFO agenda is the tidal wave of uncertainty washing over the world, Janse told us. Throw in AI transforming finance lead roles, and increasing promotions to CEO, and the stakes are getting higher.

SCFO: You traverse the globe meeting investors, central bankers, and other finance leaders. What have you learnt from visiting so many countries?

Janse: One of a CFO’s most important jobs is to get investors in. To tell the company’s or, in my case, institution’s story, its purpose and success, by building long-term personal relationships.

I manage both sides of the balance sheet as we are an investor ourselves with €100 billion under management. Through our bond issuance, ESM attracts capital from around 2000 investors around the globe.

Travel gives you a far better understanding of what drives investor, politician and central bank decisions. For example, how countries responded to the Middle East conflict.

And it means you have friends. When you have a difficult bond deal, it’s important to be able to phone your biggest investors: “I need your help on this one, please participate.”

SCFO: You’ve described your time in Luxembourg as “16 wild years”. Tell us more.

Janse: I came here, seconded from McKinsey to the European Investment Bank (EIB), in the depths of the great financial crisis (GFC) and eurozone crisis, to help coordinate its response. I created the first budget and organizational chart for the European Financial Stability Facility, the precursor of the ESM.

After a year, I said to our managing director, “I’m going back to my job in Amsterdam.” He said, “I want you to [stay and become] secretary general and management board member.” Then I became CFO in 2019 and I’m still here.

The GFC, it’s a moment you’ll never forget. A once every 80 to 100 year event. But history will show what it meant for Europe. The tiny role we played is still a significant part of my life. It felt like we were taking care of this European project.

The ESM gave the countries that needed help low-rate, sustainable loans, so they could reform and restructure areas such as tax revenue and government spending. Today, they’re among the best performing economies in the world, rated by The Economist.

SCFO: Are there any parallels between now and the GFC?

Janse: It’s completely different now. It doesn’t mean we won’t face another crisis. But we have strengthened the architecture by creating the ESM and multiple supervisory mechanisms for banks, markets, and insurance and pension schemes.

So we can withstand external shocks better now. For example, when Silicon Valley Bank (US) and Credit Suisse (Switzerland) fell over in 2023, both were outside the eurozone. We didn’t feel any spillover. Also, when markets rejected former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss’ fiscal plans, the eurozone was shielded from that.

SCFO: What’s top of mind for WEF CFO Community members?

Janse: Bringing together finance heads from the world’s biggest companies creates a valuable exchange about how the future will look.

In our latest session, we identified three topics:

  • Leadership and how CFOs increasingly advance to CEO: We’re discussing strategic partnerships and how to support the CEO in ensuring business performance.

  • What AI means for investments and capital: We identified early that AI would be a finance game-changer. Most Community CFOs see it positively impacting the P&L, boosting efficiency and cutting mundane work. AI’s also now doing more high-end work that used to be manual, such as reviewing prospectuses. That’s a quantum leap.

  • Short-term, the changing world order and geopolitics is what keeps CFOs busy: They’re increasingly diversifying funding sources and capital allocation across regions to reduce exposure to geopolitical fragmentation. Uncertainty around shocks—such as sanctions, supply disruptions, and market dislocations—has made it necessary to pre-fund obligations and build buffers and resilience into liquidity and balance sheet management.

SCFO: How does economic instability impact ESM’s everyday financial management?

Janse: We designed our funding strategy to stay flexible and diversified. We maintain strong market access and multiple funding sources. Continuous monitoring of market conditions [enables us] to adapt issuance timing and mitigate concentration risks.

We also need to be able to meet all obligations even under stress, including unexpected outflows such as collateral calls or sudden disbursements. To ensure this, we keep buffers of cash and highly liquid assets.

Then to anticipate funding needs, we combine detailed and continuous cashflow projections with early indicators and stress signals. And we stress test cashflows in daily risk management and planning, to assess resilience and ensure contingencies.

SCFO: How are you using AI day-to-day in your finance function?

Janse: Early tests of how AI solutions could support our funding work showed the potential and limits of off-the-shelf tools. This led us to team up with the University of Luxembourg and recruit three PhDs to explore this area. The ESM has many staff with academic experience, which enhances our ability to translate research outcomes into operational value.

We created an internal AI agent called Frankie, after a staff member’s dog. In bond issuance, we’ve used Frankie to help us analyze bank proposal requests.

I also see AI starting to dominate investment, and it’s now embedded in much of our coding work. One portfolio manager in my investment team is leading an exercise to analyze holdings and market pricing to evaluate investment opportunities. If he wrote the code himself, it would take days. With Claude Code, it takes a few minutes for a working prototype.

SCFO: You’ve also talked about “deterministic finance” moving from AI shock to reality. How does that work in your function?

Janse: As the use of data, automation and AI grows, deterministic finance is a shift toward model-driven decision making.

For a public issuer like the ESM, this shift enables faster insights and more responsive decisions as market signals evolve. We’re investing significant effort into identifying causal relationships among complex financial variables to improve quality and timeliness of decisions.

Using AI agents to operationalize these relationships can deepen our understanding of market movements, particularly after major events or policy changes.

SCFO: You’re an ardent footie fan. Who’s going to win the World Cup?

Janse: If President Trump can give the cup to a European nation* and say, “You're the best of the world”, I'm happy.

*[We guess that means Spain then! Ed]

Secret CFO’s view: Finance leaders need friends

Like Roy Batty in Blade Runner, Janse has “seen things you people wouldn’t believe”. There’s a lot to learn from someone who has stared into the balance sheet abyss for a whole damn economy and found the way back.

He also looks at the CFO role in an expansive way and is thinking hard about what comes next for finance teams.

But despite all the talk of tech, Janse knows the people side of finance is more important than ever.

So, for CFOs who struggle to make new friends, it’s time to step outside your comfort zone.

The Secret CFO’s reading the room…

Answering your board’s next big question.

  • Shock shield: Uncertainty is now structural; how are we evolving risk management to protect the business if a crisis hits?

  • Board alerts: Which early warning signals do we want reported to the board routinely, and what actions would they trigger?

  • Geopolitics hedge: Do we need to increase our liquidity buffer to prepare for an unknown?

  • Flexible funding: Do we have multiple sources of new capital in one funding route close to us?

  • Model future: What probabilistic problems do we have in finance that are well suited for AI?

Boardroom Brief is presented by The Secret CFO Network

Last week’s Playbook broke down the 7 pillars of FP&A.

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